Trading folklore,
measured.
A claim traders repeat — that price covers its average range most days, that a level tested many times is stronger, that moving your stop to breakeven protects you — is taken apart and counted on real prices: six instruments, stocks and crypto, years of daily bars.
Some claims survive the count. Many do not, and the videos say which is which. The course runs in order — foundations, range, levels, risk, setups, and your own system — and ends with the ten claims that survived.
How a lesson works
Stated the way it is usually taught
A rule traders repeat — about ranges, levels, stops, setups or costs — written out completely enough to be counted.
On real prices, in the open
Daily bars of three stocks and three coins, with the accounting spelled out. Every lesson that measures something publishes the script that did it.
With its limits named
Some claims survive the count. Many do not, and the lesson says which — including when the data is too thin to say anything.
Every video ends with something you can compute yourself: a formula, a checklist, or a chart you can mark up the same way. That is the only promise this channel makes. It does not promise income, it does not give signals, and it does not tell you what to buy.
Six modules, in order
Foundations · 7 lessons
Why a win rate on its own decides nothing, what a market actually is, what four numbers on a bar do and do not contain, the three orders you need, and what a trade costs before price has moved at all.
Range · 3 lessons
How far an instrument usually travels, how much room is left to the next level, and how much of the day is still ahead.
Levels · 8 lessons
Where a line on a chart comes from, what makes one worth trading, and how to mark up a blank chart by rule instead of by taste.
Risk · 7 lessons
Where the stop goes and why, how much room to leave between the level and your order, and the arithmetic that turns both into a position size.
Setups · 8 lessons
Bounce, breakout, false breakout, range and retest, on the same levels with the same accounting.
System · 8 lessons
Your own way of working: what is worth looking at before the session opens, what belongs in a plan and in a journal, which of your statistics still hold when the history is cut in half, what a daily chart cannot answer, how to tell whether a change of your own works, and where experienced traders genuinely disagree.
Ten claims that survived the count
From the last lesson of the course, What Survived. Every number below comes from the lesson it was measured in.
- The size of a day carries over, its shape does not — after a large day the next one moved 0.69 of a usual range, after a quiet one 0.19, while the next day was up 52–53% of the time wherever a bar closed.
- Almost everything the market moves, it moves back — 93–99.6% of a year's daily moves cancelled on the stocks, 96–97% on crypto.
- 33–45% of the stocks' movement came between the close and the next open, with an overnight gap of up to 8.8% of price, so rules travel between markets and position size does not.
- On 1,987 crossings, 69% of the time price went on to the next level — not the 80% the claim says, but not made up.
- Costs are arithmetic — a round trip took 2–5% of the stop on stocks, 35–59% on crypto at an ordinary fee, and 136–227% on the lowest-volume tier.
- Leverage does not change what a trade makes per unit of risk, it adds a second stop — 9.5% away at 10×, 1.5% at 50×, a line Tesla reached from the open on 46% of days.
- A tighter stop costs more in R by exactly as much — 0.12R a round trip on the index fund at the daily stop, 0.49R four times tighter, 0.98R eight times tighter.
- A line can be drawn almost anywhere — 48 to 56 candidate levels in every hundred bars.
- The best of 21 combinations made +0.38R a trade on the first half of the data and −0.1R on the second, and 17 of the 21 did worse on the second half.
- How you count decides the result — the first count of the level setup said +0.92R a trade on 1,134 trades; counted honestly it was 818 trades at −0.17R, below zero on 24 of 24 combinations.